Bank of China Securities Guan Tao: As long as the economy is stable and risks are prevented, the spring of China's capital market can be expected. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Guan Tao, global chief economist of Bank of China Securities, said that the meeting continued the policy thinking since the end of September and emphasized the need to implement more active and promising macro policies. Among them, implementing a more active fiscal policy is an important point to strengthen unconventional countercyclical adjustment. I believe that as long as the economy is stable and risks are prevented, the spring of China's capital market can be expected.The main contract of Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 stock index futures (IF) fell by 2.00% in the day and is now reported at 3,955.2 points.On the 13th, the 30-year treasury bond futures rose by 0.60%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the data of the exchange, as of December 13th, the main contract 30-year treasury bond futures closed at 2503, up or down by +0.60%, with a turnover of 71,900 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were clear, and the difference position was 3,777 lots. The total number of 30-year treasury bond futures contracts was 82,700 lots, an increase of 4,416 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 78,000 lots, a decrease of 1,313 lots from the previous day. The top 20 seats in the contract held 85,000 short positions, a decrease of 1,049 lots from the previous day. (Sina Futures)
On the 13th, glass fell by 2.14%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the exchange data, as of December 13th, the main contract glass closed at 2505, up or down by -2.14%, with a turnover of 671,300 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were clear, and the difference position was 46,081 lots. The total turnover of glass futures contracts was 999,900 lots, an increase of 189,100 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 565,600 lots, a decrease of 12,000 lots from the previous day. The short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 661,500 lots, a decrease of 13,600 lots from the previous day. (Sina Futures)Shengyi Technology: The total sales volume of the company's rigid copper clad laminate ranks second in the world. Shengyi Technology said at the collective exchange meeting of investors that according to the statistics and ranking of the global rigid copper clad laminate in 2023 by Prismark of the United States, the total sales volume of the company's rigid copper clad laminate ranks second in the world, with a global market share of 14%. Regarding the growth trend of AI server, the company said that the upgrade iteration of hardware equipment related to AI server is fast, and the product form is quite different from that of previous wired products. The company can quickly respond to customer requirements and provide solutions. It is expected that AI applications will gradually develop from large model training to application in the future, and it is expected to achieve good growth.The head of the region said that the Russian attack on the key infrastructure in the Ivano-Frankov region was the biggest attack on the region so far.
Goldman Sachs lowered the UK's GDP growth forecast for 2024 from the previous 1.2% to 1.0%.On the 13th, the No.20 rubber fell by 2.05%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the exchange data, as of December 13th, the main contract No.20 rubber 2502 was closed, with a turnover of 159,100 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were clear, and the difference position was 5,142 lots. A total of 205,200 lots were traded in the No.20 rubber futures contract, an increase of 8,176 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 84,200 lots, an increase of 812 lots over the previous day. Short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 94,500 lots, a decrease of 1,708 lots from the previous day. (Sina Futures)During the policy landing period, the market may become a structural market, which is expected to further benefit the performance of high-interest stocks. On December 13, the Standard & Poor's dividend ETF(562060) closed down by 1.93%, with a turnover of 35.7287 million yuan. Puyin International pointed out that next year, before the two sessions next year, it will enter the policy landing period, and more detailed policies will be gradually implemented. The superimposed overseas uncertainty may increase with Trump's coming to power, so we expect the market to present a structural market. Based on the profit growth rate, capital stock, liquidity and market sentiment, the overall performance of A shares may be more stable than that of overseas Chinese shares. Investment trading strategy suggests both offensive and defensive. When the market sentiment improves and the stock index rebounds, it is expected that the high beta sector, such as non-bank finance, optional and mandatory consumption, real estate and other sectors and individual stocks may be more elastic. When the market sentiment is low and the stock index fluctuates downward, funds may prefer more defensive sectors, such as telecommunications services. There are many high-quality and high-interest stocks in the defensive sector. There is still room for the Bank of China to cut interest rates further next year, which is expected to further benefit the performance of high-interest stocks.
Strategy guide
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide
12-13